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Inconvenient Truths.... Modern Society

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perry

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The last couple of months I have been thinking about US and world energy use and how to come to a reasonable projected future. As part of that I was driven to consider the reason for energy use, its effect on society and the world, and the effect on the environment.

Recently there was a movie that focused on the enviromental effect of parts of the energy use picture (along the name of "An Inconvenient Truth"). I will admit that I have not seen the movie; however I do not doubt the general premise of the movie.

However, That is just one view of one corner of all the issues involved with energy use in the world.

One concept out there that has fasicnated me for decades is the concept of sustaninable energy use: i.e., the idea that you could live in a house, and work in a job that did not need to import energy from another part of the world.

Why, I wonder is it necessary to write a check each month to the electric utility and the gas utility. Or at least - why do we need to send that check somewhere else. Why not, in towns or cities, just have a local distribution service that was a stand alone operation.

This has taken me recently down the path of investigating why we use such energy in the first place.

Long ago in the "developed" nations - and yet today in much of the "3rd" world nations people live and work based on the limitations of local (and often renewable) energy sources.

Cooking and heating (where needed) is done with wood, dried peat, or some form of dried animal droppings, or from basic solar ovens. Almost all equipment is either animal or man powered. Lighting is often from locally grown plant oils or locally butchered animal fats. It was discovered that wood could be reduced to charcoal which could be used for smelting and working of metals.

However. Modern society as we know it can not exist. These people largly spend most of their day envolved in the basics of survival (hunting, fishing, raising crops, etc). Machines or tools necessary to improve their life cannot really exist in any meaningfull quantity without the use of some other forms of energy.

Wind energy was harnesed to power simple machines or for sailing that allowed people to produce many other items, or process food and water, or transport goods or raw materials to other areas which allowed a great expansion of the standard of living.

Falling Water energy was the next item to be harnesed which allowed more machines to be able to produce more goods for people with only a few people producing them.

The discovery that certain rocks would burn and provide heat (coal and forms of oil stone) provided an easily transportable form of heat energy that could be used for many things. This is what largly powered the industrial revolution, central heating, and most household appliances (the foot pedal powered singer sowing machine was only possible to manufacture using coal).

Mobile machine powered machines (tractors, trucks, steamships, trains, etc) were only possible with the advent of the mining of these compact, highly intensive, and easily transportable forms of energy.

Of couse, much of the modern polution and degradation of the environment (in many ways)was a byproduct from the use of these fuels. Most industries that were not environmentally freindly (mining and chemical mfr) were limited prior to this because they were dependent on animal or human power with some assistance from crude windmills and waterwheels.

The discovery of petroleum and then nuclear energy only accelerated the use of large quantities of energy by people and by factories.

People have also gotten use to these cheap forms of portable energy and many modern societies are composed of people who are energy hogs. It''s cheap and available - so we keep using it for things that we really don''t need to use if for.

The concept of conversion to a "truely sustainable" energy use policy - where we were not using many of the modern transportable energy sources in of by itself is not very realistic - unless you wish to go back to living conditions and a lifestyle typical of the ancient times. An issue that most people do not consider is how much energy and of what forms of energy and pollution are required to manufacture the modern energy producing equipment.

As an example: Solar cells are wonderfull if all you do is buy them and use them. From an energy and pollution of production standpoint - they are extreemly expensive such that just from an energy point solar cells could not produce enough energy to power their manufacture.... or the manufacture of their replacement when they degrade and need replaceing (and they do degrade). From a polution and water resource standpoint they are not good either.

Ethonal production from corn in the US actually now does produce more ethonal than it would take to produce it. However, it is only availabe in large quantities because the tractors and other farm equipment is powered by petroleum, and the ethonal production plant is powered largly by either natural gas or coal (and the environmetalist are horrified by all the coal fired ethonal plants now being built now that natural gas is no longer cheap - there is essentially no envirmental benifit from using coal produced ethonal).

Were ethonal used to power the farm machinery and fuel the ethonal factory - the consumer available ethonal would only be in the range of 10 to 15% of the current production. It would be extreemly expensive as well compared to "current" ethonal prices.

I will concede that other crops would produce a lot more ethonal - but most of those crops do not grow well in most of the US (Hawaii could do very well with its sugar cane production).

I have to be off to another activity today. But I thought I would strat this thread.

The key to consider is how much energy, pollution, and lifestyle impact does every energy or machine technology have in the production and use of that technology.

There is no perfect techonolgy or solution out there: when looked at from what it takes to make or produce the machines or energy source to what happens when it is being used to what happens when it is time to dispose of the worn out equipment or various residues...

Coal is abundent and cheap to mine and transport (especially if you are willing to accept that coal miners will routinely die while mining it) - but....

What are the "but''s" or just issues (pro or con) with each change.

Something I think should really be thought about - without a lot of hype or emotion.


Perry
 
This statement I strongly disagree with:
"People have also gotten use to these cheap forms of portable energy and many modern societies are composed of people who are energy hogs."

That is flat out wrong, there is plenty of energy available and the use of that energy has allowed us to advance very rapidly in a wide range of areas.
By limiting the use of energy we also limit progress.
If it wasnt for the so called hogging of power we wouldnt be here chatting we would be out working the land trying to get enough to eat.
When there is plenty available it is impossible to hog it.

There is no technological energy problem the problems are political.
They can be solved in several ways.
The problem with energy in the US are 2 fold big government and big business.
If people supplied there own power the mega corps which own the government would lose money, cant have that can we? Also the .gov would have a very hard time taxing it wouldn''t they now?
The rich and powerful lose both ways then so it doesn''t get solved.
So they manufacture and invent shortages to scare people into giving them more control.
Think about it :}
 
Strorm:

I readily agree that our modern society advanced to where is has gotten to by the use of thagt energy - that is one of the points of my post above. I am also not proposing that we go back to 3rd world conditions either. Again that is in my above post.

I also disagree about how much of what form of energy is readily available. I work in the energy industry, and have a long background with several fuel sources.

Theororetically, there is an almost infinite supply of energy from several sources. The problem is how to build reliable, efficient, and cost effective machinery to tap it (or to convert and store it in other forms). The technical challanges are huge - and it often takes billons in research to figure out a better way for large power systems.

I dreamed long ago of solar and wind - only to find the systems of those days to be horribly misdesigned and too complicated. History proved me right; and the newer systems are better - but have a long way to go to get to utility grade reliability - not to mention cost effectiveness.

I will concede that big business and politics has affected things a bit; but not in a major way. Big business shunned the independent power producer who built gas turbine generators - untill that industry became so big that it affected power generation decisions in every state. Ultimately, that industry largly collapsed on the high cost of natural gas and there are a lot of idle gas turbine plants out there (some abandonded in bankruptcy).

Should a workable technology come along - at a reasonable price - you can bet that big business will readily adopt it.

As far as the energy shortages. Unfortunatly - what we are now seeing is only the start of the future. China and India are starting to industrialize and they need just as much energy per person as many of the 1st world countries use in order to move their societies ahead. Given their populations compared to the current industrial world - they now control the world market for at least one of the base energy sources (oil) and are starting to affect coal and uranium prices.

I stand by my statement on energy hogs.

If you look at how people lived, how much energy they used, the engineering companies and specialized factories of 30 to 50 years ago and compare them to today.

Those people of 30 to 50 years ago invented nuclear energy, the transistor, modern electronics, integratec circuit chips, sent men to the moon, desinged all the current nuclear reactors in the US, designed and built most of the tallest buildings, and many other things - almost entirely by the use of a slide rule to do calculations (the moon trips used one of the early computers). The people largly lived in hoses that avearaged about 950 Sq Ft, had several kids in them, and usually only 1 car.

Today, most new houses would be considered mansions compared to 50 years ago and 2 or more cars per houshold are common.

In the last 30 years manufacturing has cut their energy use by almost 50% on a part in the industries that did not depend on melting or heating of their product (the amouint of energy to weld or to to melt a furnace of steel has not changed).

In the meantime the per capita use of energy by the people for personal use- outside of industry and manufacturing has skyroketed. It''s cheap and we can do so much with it.... But do we need to do it?

So part of this debate is not about the energy we use to develope and manufacture new products. That is what has raised our lifestyle. You cannot address the energy debate without asking why people in the industrilized world use so much energy for personal use (and building a house that is twice as large takes almost twice the resorces and almost twice the energy).

Two key issues are part of this debate:

1) energy supplies

2) energy use

Other key issues:

3) polution and efficiency effects of different technologies

4) society/culture effects of the use of or changing to a technology

5) Long term effects on world and culture (and great grandkids)


Only by looking at all these factors can we sort this out.


Perry
 
2 cars - likely both parents work which wasn''t needed in the 50s because one income could provide enough for a family. Now mainly because of out of control government taxes and short sighted big business that is no longer the case.

household energy use: mostly time saving devices because 2 people are working instead of 1. It ties back.

The talk of advances but think about this, the easy stuff has been done.
As technology advances the problems needed to overcome the next level become 100000x as complex as the easier stuff.
Take microprocessors the early chips were mostly designed and drawn by small groups of people now even the fastest computer cant model a modern design in under a day. (they use huge clusters) and 1000 people couldn''t do it in a lifetime.
As far as China and other countries advancing they can do so for a short time on available resources but technology will have to grow and it will.
I expect the next advance in energy to come from the developing world.
They are hungry for it while the US companies are blundering short sighted fat cats living for today and not looking into the future thanks to the idiots that took over investment strategy in the US that have a short term outlook.

Thinking about wind and solar... solar is good and in the long run will likely provide a lot of power but not in the way its currently used.
Wind is a stupid idea that will never be cost effective because of energy density of wind is too low. Turning generators is too inefficient at that power density.
Chemical and nuclear are the short term solutions but the end game will be a combination of technologies.
 
I''m in the UK, so have a very different view point on this.

Because we are part of the European Union, there are mandatory directives regarding energy usage.

You need a lot of money in the UK to run a big car! Petrol prices are heavily taxed.

The government give incentives to the ''small car owner'' so if your car has low O2 emissions and a small engine size, then you will pay less tax!

Wind and solar power is a big thing over here, simply because people want ''clean'' energy and don''t particularly want to live next door to a nuclear processing plant. There''s no doubt that fossil fuels will not last forever, and alternatives have to be considered.

Also, all household waste has to be recycled. You can''t just throw everything in the garbage. It has to be seperated into glass, plastic, cardboard, paper, tin, garden biodegradable and then general household. You can''t choose whether you want to do this or not....you will receive a heafty fined if you don''t!

Kids are taught in school (as part of the curriculum) that we have to look after our enviroment and not waste our energy resources.

You have to believe that one small household can really make a difference, because if every household did the same, then it really would make an enormous difference!

Blod
9.gif
 
well i envision every house with a wind turbine (small) to generate electricity for light and pumping water. I have (and use) a solar oven. Really need two to make dinner work. I don't know much about solar panels.

I envision having gravity driven ceiling fans like at monticello. we don't need air conditioning to thrive.

I envision composting toilets, sustainable gardening, and gray water usage. I envision water collection for every home. we use fresh water to flush toilets!

in houston texas, anyway, there is no need to pay for a water heater. just put a black cistern in the backyard gravity fed into every home.

my homowners association requires BLACK or GRAY shingles in an extremey hot climate. How's that fer stoopid? What would happen if we all used light colored shingles? change the rules! I can dry clothes using a clothesline, for free, but my HOA doesn't permit it. Change the rules! Why do I have a dishwasher? I can wash and air dry the dishes with very little effort.

I believe that fossil fuels are running out and that we have passed "peak oil" production. I teach my students to think about what they are going to do about thier future energy needs.

I aslo believe that what energy needs will have to go for agriculture to feed our growing population.

I tend to think _ What can I do for Me and Mine?
 
Geothermal.
 
Date: 8/1/2006 10:15:13 AM
Author: fire&ice
Geothermal.
The areas with the most energy are unstable and subject to severe geological upheaval.
The places where the energy is most available are subject to earthquakes and volcanoes.
 
Date: 8/1/2006 11:07:49 AM
Author: strmrdr

Date: 8/1/2006 10:15:13 AM
Author: fire&ice
Geothermal.
The areas with the most energy are unstable and subject to severe geological upheaval.
The places where the energy is most available are subject to earthquakes and volcanoes.
Nope. Having put in one of the largest installations on the East Coast, the land is not subject to earthquakes or volcanoes. Aquafers are quite abundant and easily accessed. The pay back was calculated at 10 years. With the cost of energy, the pay back is looking at around 5 years.

In fact, we had an engineer look at doing it at our house - no problems with it. We have stable land, no where near a volcano & very minimal risk for earthquake of very small proportion. It''s really just the cost of the wells & having enough land to drill.
 
Date: 8/1/2006 11:48:00 AM
Author: fire&ice

Date: 8/1/2006 11:07:49 AM
Author: strmrdr


Date: 8/1/2006 10:15:13 AM
Author: fire&ice
Geothermal.
The areas with the most energy are unstable and subject to severe geological upheaval.
The places where the energy is most available are subject to earthquakes and volcanoes.
Nope. Having put in one of the largest installations on the East Coast, the land is not subject to earthquakes or volcanoes. Aquafers are quite abundant and easily accessed. The pay back was calculated at 10 years. With the cost of energy, the pay back is looking at around 5 years.

In fact, we had an engineer look at doing it at our house - no problems with it. We have stable land, no where near a volcano & very minimal risk for earthquake of very small proportion. It''s really just the cost of the wells & having enough land to drill.
I will have to re-look into it.
last I heard they were looking into the yellowstone area for it.
 
There are two common forms of Geothermal and I think that Fire & Ice and Storm were not thinking about the same geothermal:

Low Hnergy Geothermal: Used for routing heating and cooling of houses, might be used for some low scale heat industrial processes (like warming water for concrete mixing).

This is easily doable with a new house. Tubes are embeded into the area arround the house, or in a few cases wells are dug vertically instead of a horizontal tube run. Very energy efficient as you can typically heat or cool a house at 1/5th (20%) of most other systems (as long as the system is properely built and the house is reasonably energy efficient). Payback ranges from 3 to 6 years for new house construction.

Retrofit into an existing house can be problamitic. Payback for the doable systems about 5 to 10 years. I''ve been trying to find a system that would work for my house - unfortunately, no dice so far from any of the commercial suppliers of the system components.


High Energy Geothermal: Used to generate electricity via one of several forms of heat cycles or engines. Storm is closer to the truth on this one as it depends on taping a relatively close magma field for energy. Yellowstone is a good example of a good area.

About a dozen such plants have been built in the US (and more elsewhere). The real problem is that the fluids that come up are very corrosive and toxic. Lots of special chemical protection gear for the people working at those plants. Very expensive alloys to stand up to what comes up (or for the heat exchangers that have to handle it). No one is rushing to build more plants, and they are just trying to figure out how to make the existing ones last. Everyone just thought it would be hot water - to bad it didn''t turn out that way.

The concept of having a "core tap" power station that worked by transferring heat from several miles down has also been investigated - and progress has been made on how to drill a well hole to do it. Unfortunately, the test holes have also run into the corrosive toxic soup similar to the existing high geothermal energy power plants - and research has slowed way down because we don''t yet have a good idea on how to handle this stuff.


Hope that helps.

Perry
 
Date: 8/1/2006 7:31:12 PM
Author: perry
There are two common forms of Geothermal and I think that Fire & Ice and Storm were not thinking about the same geothermal:

Low Hnergy Geothermal: Used for routing heating and cooling of houses, might be used for some low scale heat industrial processes (like warming water for concrete mixing).

This is easily doable with a new house. Tubes are embeded into the area arround the house, or in a few cases wells are dug vertically instead of a horizontal tube run. Very energy efficient as you can typically heat or cool a house at 1/5th (20%) of most other systems (as long as the system is properely built and the house is reasonably energy efficient). Payback ranges from 3 to 6 years for new house construction.
Perry is probably correct Storm - we are probably thinking about two distinct geotherm - although Yellowstone could indeed be run on geothermal.

One thing that I want to clarify - while primarily a heating/cooling power - it is not limited to housing. It INDEED can and has been used in a commercial installation.

As far as retrofit - it is more retrofit of the mind. The hardware is extremely low tech. It''s not surprising that more people don''t know about the energy. There are like 3 engineering firms in the country who truly know what they are doing.

It''s beautiful in it''s sheer simplicity.
 
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