Hurricane Season: Southeast US , we got a storm brewing

[missy]

Hurricane season you're supposed to be OVER darn you.

Thinking about all who are affected. Stay safe.

 

[Arcadian]

Hurricane season you're supposed to be OVER darn you.

Thinking about all who are affected. Stay safe.

LOL officially we have 20 more days, and its been a very odd year. According to what I've read, its been 37 years since a storm hit CONUS in November.

I have power but we kept losing it last night. In general I did OK but I do have a ton of yard cleanup! Its still very breezy here though but should totally clear out by this afternoon for us. We're still under TS warning here.

My husband has no idea what the condition of his house is in as he's been here, so he's gonna find out today. Storm came ashore officially at Hutchinson Island, which is less than 5 miles from his house.

Outages aren't too bad thankfully! https://poweroutage.us/area/state/florida

 

[missy]

LOL officially we have 20 more days, and its been a very odd year. According to what I've read, its been 37 years since a storm hit CONUS in November.

I have power but we kept losing it last night. In general I did OK but I do have a ton of yard cleanup! Its still very breezy here though but should totally clear out by this afternoon for us. We're still under TS warning here.

My husband has no idea what the condition of his house is in as he's been here, so he's gonna find out today. Storm came ashore officially at Hutchinson Island, which is less than 5 miles from his house.

Outages aren't too bad thankfully! https://poweroutage.us/area/state/florida

Power outages are the worst IMO. I hate being cold or hot. After Sandy IIRC our neighborhood was without power for 14 days. TG for our generator. But it failed after 12 days running continuously. Fortunately our electrician came and fixed it easily. But I won’t lie. I am fearful of losing power. Generators aren’t 100% reliable. I admit I need my electricity and probably feel more strongly about this than many other people. It’s my Achilles heel

Hope your husband’s house is AOK. Fingers crossed for you

 

[Arcadian]

Power outages are the worst IMO. I hate being cold or hot. After Sandy IIRC our neighborhood was without power for 14 days. TG for our generator. But it failed after 12 days running continuously. Fortunately our electrician came and fixed it easily. But I won’t lie. I am fearful of losing power. Generators aren’t 100% reliable. I admit I need my electricity and probably feel more strongly about this than many other people. It’s my Achilles heel

Hope your husband’s house is AOK. Fingers crossed for you

He talked to a neighbor who said they have power so thats something good. He'll be going up tomorrow to check things out and make sure all is well.

Here, I had generator at the ready as my solar system is not completely hooked in (hopeful it will be by 11-14 though!) and as much as I didn't want to have it ready, I do. its helped more than its hurt! I think most places around me are OK and will just have cleanup to do. Plus its thankfully cool today (cold front dipping into the state behind all this craziness.

Whats going on north like Daytona and up is really bad though for a lot of reasons and it has to do with where people want to build or buy; There's a lot of structures on the barrier islands that are not habitable, and I'll just say it; frankly no one should be rebuilding on them, especially after the damage thats being suffered, plus lets add King Tides, which now cover the streets in more places that they didn't 20 years ago. The ocean is reclaiming its land it seems.



Damage to structurers there is one of the biggest reasons why our insurance rates in the state skyrocket, or, insurers just leave/go out of business.

My insurance will amost double behind these 2 storms.

 

[missy]

nd I'll just say it; frankly no one should be rebuilding on them, especially after the damage thats being suffered, plus lets add King Tides, which now cover the streets in more places that they didn't 20 years ago. The ocean is reclaiming its land it seems.

Agree completely with you.
If I am remembering correctly this happens in Nantucket (and other places too)...they keep rebuilding storm after storm

 

[tyty333]

We got a lot of wind and some rain. Not too bad though. Will need to do a yard cleanup today. We never lost power which was nice
but my DH said some of his work buddies on the island have lost power. We're west of 95 so we don't get it quite as bad.

Hope everyone else is well!

 

[Arcadian]

We got a lot of wind and some rain. Not too bad though. Will need to do a yard cleanup today. We never lost power which was nice
but my DH said some of his work buddies on the island have lost power. We're west of 95 so we don't get it quite as bad.

Hope everyone else is well!

I'm happy you guys did well! Islands did take the brunt of this in the most unfortunate ways! I'm also starting my clean up today, and I'm going to visit the beach to see how bad it is. All that work they did to restore it and its possible it could be gone again. Maybe they should have just let it be.

 

[Arcadian]

TS Nicole still moving through FL but should be out by this evening. BTW its quite sunny where I am






814
WTNT42 KNHC 101452
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Nicole Discussion Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172022
1000 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

The center of Nicole is currently over west central Florida to the
northeast of Tampa. While the cyclone remains well organized in
satellite imagery, surface observation and Doppler radar data
indicate that the maximum winds have decreased to near 45 kt, and
that the central pressure has risen to near 985 mb.

The initial motion is 295/14 kt. A low- to mid-level ridge to the
northeast of Nicole is moving eastward as a deep-layer mid-latitude
trough and associated surface cold front are approaching from the
west. This evolution should cause Nicole to turn northwestward
today, with the center moving just offshore of the coast of the
Florida Big Bend. The storm should turn northward tonight and move
over the southeastern United States. On Friday, Nicole or its
remnants should accelerate north-northeastward on the east side of
the trough. The new forecast track is similar to, but just a little
west of the previous track, and it lies close to the various
consensus models.

Continued weakening is expected this morning while the center
remains over land. While the center is forecast to briefly emerge
over the Gulf of Mexico this afternoon, it is not expected to be
over water long enough for significant re-intensification. After
landfall in the Florida Panhandle, Nicole should weaken to a
depression by 24 h. Subsequently, the cyclone will become
post-tropical and be absorbed by the large mid-latitude weather
system.


Key Messages:

1. Tropical storm conditions will continue along the east coast of
Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina within the warning areas today.
Tropical storm conditions will spread northward along the west
coast of Florida to the coast of the Florida Panhandle through
tonight.

2. A dangerous storm surge is expected along portions of the
east-central and northeastern coast of Florida, portions of coastal
Georgia, and the Florida Big Bend along the Gulf coast. The storm
surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves along the
Atlantic coast. Residents in the warning area should listen to
advice given by local officials.

3. Do not focus on the exact track of Nicole since it is a large
storm with hazards extending well to the north of the center,
outside of the forecast cone. These hazards will continue to
affect much of the Florida peninsula and portions of the southeast
United States.

4. Nicole will produce heavy rainfall today across the Florida
Peninsula. Flash and urban flooding will be possible across portions
of the Florida Peninsula along with renewed river flooding on the
St. Johns River. Isolated flash, urban, and small stream flooding
will also be possible on Friday in the Southeast through the central
Appalachians, including the Blue Ridge Mountains, and extending
northward through eastern Ohio, west central Pennsylvania, into
western New York by Friday night into Saturday.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 10/1500Z 28.2N 82.2W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
12H 11/0000Z 29.9N 83.9W 40 KT 45 MPH...OVER WATER
24H 11/1200Z 32.9N 83.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
36H 12/0000Z 37.3N 80.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
48H 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

 

[Arcadian]

I don't know if all can see this but wow, daytona got socked. 6 houses from what I'm hearing were compromised and fell into the ocean.

 

[Betty Baguettes]

If I were young I think I would invest in land in Michigan - and maybe even move there.
But I am not young.

Best & Worst States for Climate Change – Policygenius

See our list of best (and worst) places to live when it comes to climate change. We ranked each of the contiguous 48 states on several climate change-related factors.

www.policygenius.com

 

[Arcadian]

From Volusia County Sheriffs Ofice

FYI: Coastal buildings declared unsafe

County and municipal building inspectors have declared 24 hotels and condos to be unsafe and have ordered their evacuation:

Sanibel Condo, 3799 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (11 stories)

Flamingo Inn, 2011 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (three stories)

Castaways Beach Resort, 2043 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (seven stories)

OPUS Condo, 2071 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (11 stories)

Towers Grande, 2055 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (15 stories)

Hawaiian Inn, 2301 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (five stories)

Ocean Court, 2315 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (two stories)

Sand and Surf, 2535 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (two stories)

Sherwin Condo, 2555 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (19 stories)

St. Kitts Condominium, 2855 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (six stories)

Tropic Shores Resort, 3111 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (11 stories)

South Shore Motel, 3225 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (three stories)

Holiday Inn Express, 3301 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (11 stories)

Twin Towers North, 3311 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (18 stories)

Twin Towers South, 3315 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (18 stories)

Grande Coquina Condo, 3333 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (22 stories)

Marabella Condo, 3343 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (seven stories)

Pirate’s Cove, 3501 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (seven stories)

White Surf Condo, 3555 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (seven stories)

Curran Shores North, 3615 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (two stories)

Sunglow Resort, 3647 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (10 stories)

Dimucci Tower 14, 3797 S. Atlantic Ave., Daytona Beach Shores (seven stories)

Sea Coast Gardens II Condominiums, 4151 S. Atlantic Ave., New Smyrna Beach (five stories)

The two easterly oceanfront buildings of Las Brisas Condominiums, 3001 S. Atlantic Ave. (three stories)

Additionally, at least 25 single-family homes in Wilbur-by-the-Sea were evacuated after being declared structurally unsafe.

 

[tyty333]

I'm happy you guys did well! Islands did take the brunt of this in the most unfortunate ways! I'm also starting my clean up today, and I'm going to visit the beach to see how bad it is. All that work they did to restore it and its possible it could be gone again. Maybe they should have just let it be.

Sometimes it's not worth fighting Mother Nature. Who insures that property? I can imagine the insurance must be a pretty penny.

 

[Arcadian]

Sometimes it's not worth fighting Mother Nature. Who insures that property? I can imagine the insurance must be a pretty penny.

With so many insurers that left the state or went bankrupt, its anyone's guess. might be Centry for some.

If I were young I think I would invest in land in Michigan - and maybe even move there.
But I am not young.

Best & Worst States for Climate Change – Policygenius

See our list of best (and worst) places to live when it comes to climate change. We ranked each of the contiguous 48 states on several climate change-related factors.

www.policygenius.com

I lived in Massachusetts for over 20 years. I'm done with cold. Yes you pay a price for paradise, but I also made sure not to live in a place overlooking the ocean (pretty but also dangerous IMO)

The truth is there's no safe place in the US. We get some seriously violent weather no matter where it is. How people build does need to change. The unfortunate truth is that so many counties just looked at the money coming in, and now how people built on the coast.

The reality is, no one should be building on barrier islands, not down here and it will get worse as sea levels rise.

 

[Arcadian]

With so many insurers that left the state or went bankrupt, its anyone's guess. might be Centry for some.


I lived in Massachusetts for over 20 years. I'm done with cold. Yes you pay a price for paradise, but I also made sure not to live in a place overlooking the ocean (pretty but also dangerous IMO)

The truth is there's no safe place in the US. We get some seriously violent weather no matter where it is. How people build does need to change. The unfortunate truth is that so many counties just looked at the money coming in, and now how people built on the coast.

The reality is, no one should be building on barrier islands, not down here and it will get worse as sea levels rise.

I don't know why that changed to Centry. Its Citizens Insurance. But also I'm hearing that many people are underinsured. I don't think many will be covered unless they have Federally backed flood insurance to help them out.

 

[Betty Baguettes]

With so many insurers that left the state or went bankrupt, its anyone's guess. might be Centry for some.


I lived in Massachusetts for over 20 years. I'm done with cold. Yes you pay a price for paradise, but I also made sure not to live in a place overlooking the ocean (pretty but also dangerous IMO)

The truth is there's no safe place in the US. We get some seriously violent weather no matter where it is. How people build does need to change. The unfortunate truth is that so many counties just looked at the money coming in, and now how people built on the coast.

The reality is, no one should be building on barrier islands, not down here and it will get worse as sea levels rise.

Where I live we have the cold, snow, and unfortunately tornado risk. But the risk of tornadoes is fairly low in most of Michigan, so just cold and snow. Cold and snow is decreasing though. I've noticed it myself.

It's projected that there will be millions of climate refugees, from both the U.S. and countries south, pouring into the Rust Belt states and into Canada in the next few decades. So for younger people investing in these areas is probably a good idea.