Thanks, Dreamer. That makes sense... I just wish my odds were better this month, so I guess I''m looking for some sort of hope based on stats. Will just have to wait!!! This tww is really torturous!! 4 dpo today. Yawnnn.....Date: 1/10/2009 12:36:48 PM
Author: dreamer_dachsie
So what those number mean is that if 100 women have sex two days before ovulation, 20 will get a BFP. If 100 women have sex the day before ovulation 40 will get a BFP. And if 100 have sex the day of ovulation 20 will get preggo. That doesn''t mean that out of 100 women 80 will get preggo if they all have sex on one of those daysDate: 1/10/2009 12:22:37 PM
Author: Sha
sunkist, could that spike be your O temp rise instead? CD12 doesn''t look like O to me, because of the lack of a significant temp rise after that.
DD, thanks for clarifying. So what are the numbers, as per your source, for BD two days before O only? Does BD two days before O generally carry a greater conception chance than BD on the day of O itself? Seems like most people make sure to have sex on O day.....I''m just wondering if it you only have two chances to BD...whether it''s better to have sex two days before O than the day of O. Or does it depend on the presence of ewcm?
Sorry for all the questions... I''m obsessing a lot today...
you have to think of it as each day being a new sample of women who only had sex that day! So you can''t really calculate your own personal odds based on those numbers because they are population stats, and also you have to factor in that roughly 50% of those conceptions will implant and not stick past 5 weeks
, and then another 15% or so will not last past 8-10 weeks
... this is why even though the rates of conception seem so high the day before ovulation (40% sounds high to me!) the rates of a pregnancy that lasts past 5 weeks (i.e., not ''chemical'') in a sample of 100 women in a given month is more like 20% (then of course some of those women will m/c later on). So all the numbers really mean is that the highest liklihood of getting KTFU is if you try to hit those three days (O - 2, O - 1, and O).![]()
I guess the point is that you can time things just right and try to increase your adds, but the odds are still not very high in any given month which is why average time to conceive is 6 months.
Waxing, I''m sorry for your loss as well...
