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- Jul 21, 2004
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Tom,Tom Gelb said:Hi Anne,
I think you have some very interesting data here. In my opinion the best way to find out what you are looking for is to run a regression analysis. Are you familiar with this methodology? If so I think the best way would be to gather as many similarly graded diamonds and using price as the dependent variable, make sure you have independent variables for all of the important value factors, including Gem Lab. By doing this you should get, within a certain tolerance, the price difference between the labs.
Good luck,
I beg to differ unless the ‘tolerance’ you’re describing is so large as to make the results useless. If the raw data, meaning the weight/color/clarity information, isn’t consistent within a particular lab then you are making a terrible statistical mistake. What does the ‘average’ EGL-SI1 grade out at GIA? That’s the key topic and it’s the subject of the 17 stone study done by Pricescope a few years ago but, my opinion is that the results are misleading.
The average running speed of Steven Hawking and Florence Joyner is what it is and it isn't all that fast but without knowing more about both individuals, this statistic is meaningless. Parsing it to observe that all of the women in this group are significantly faster than average would be correct but equally meaningless, even if you toss in a dozen or so ‘normal’ people to make a bigger sample size.
The strategy of statistically ‘discounting’ various labs in the hope of finding a bargain is almost guaranteed to fail as a consumer, and usually as a dealer. It’s not that EGL doesn’t do good work or that they don’t produce reports with the same grades that GIA would give but, when they do, those stones either aren’t sold at the steep discount and/or they are resubmitted to a different lab for a pedigree that can be sold at a premium. Saying that comparatively expensive EGL’s are better, or at least closer to GIA grading than the less expensive ones ignores a whole issue about dealer behavior that trumps nearly everything so price isn’t really a very good indicator. What does that leave? Independent experts like you and me can certainly come into play, as can dealers who do their own in-house grading and sort the wheat from the chaff and consumers who are prepared to look at stones and apply their own grading expertise can make out but how is someone doing a statistical regression of the PS database going to do it? The average EGL graded stone is usually cheaper than the average stone from GIA with similar sounding specs. True, but so what? Statistics on how much cheaper is just a distraction.